The Effects of Narrow Wins and Losses On Subsequent Performance
/I've often heard it asserted after a team's close loss that it will "bounce back harder next week". With a little work, that's a testable claim.
Read MoreI've often heard it asserted after a team's close loss that it will "bounce back harder next week". With a little work, that's a testable claim.
Read MoreA couple of weeks ago, in this earlier blog, I described a general framework for deriving probability predictions from a bookmaker's head-to-head prices and then, if required, generating margin predictions from those probability predictions.
Read MoreThe last few months have been a generally reflective time for me, and with my decision to leave unchanged the core of MAFL algorithms for 2014 I've been focussing some of that reflection on the eight full seasons I've now spent analysing and predicting AFL results.
Read MoreMAFL is a website for ...