2022 - Team Ratings After Round 27
/A Grand Final win that emphatic will surely have rating consequences, and indeed it has, dropping Sydney to 9th on MoSSBODS and 6th ion MoSHBODS for next season.
Read More2022 - Round 27 Results - Not With a Bang ...
/A disappointing end to the season, but not a result that surprised any of the Head-to-Head Predictors except MoSSBODS_Marg.
Read More2022 - Round 27 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE 1:45PM SATURDAY
MoSHPlay finishes at Cats by 16 points
UPDATE 7PM THURSDAY
MoSHPlay’s opening bid is Cats by 17 points
2022 - Round 27 : Overs/Unders
/The MoS twins have similar views to the bookmakers’ about the Total we might see in the Grand Final, but very different ideas about the proportion of that Total that will be attributable to each team..
Read More2022 - Round 27 : A House Divided
/The final week of the Finals sees Geelong, the team from 1st on the ladder, meet Sydney from 3rd, a situation that has occurred five times previously since 2000, as you can see from the table at right.
Those contests have ended favourably for the Minor Premiers on three of those five occasions.
Across all Grand Finals during this period, however, teams in 3rd have a superior record, albeit from fewer appearances, and join teams from 2nd and teams from 7th as the only set of teams with a better than 50% win rate in Grand Finals.
Read More2022 - Team Ratings After Round 26
/MoSSBODS lifted Collingwood into 4th spot this week, despite their losing, dropping Richmond, Port Adelaide, and Western Bulldogs in the process. It also dropped Brisbane Lions down a spot into 9th, allowing Carlton to take 8th. MoSHBODS also elevated Collingwood, in its case up to 5th at the expense of Port Adelaide, Western Bulldogs, and Brisbane Lions.
Read More2022 - Round 26 Results - On the Right Side of a Coin Toss
/The Swans hung on just long enough to give all the Head-to-Head Predictors a two-from-two finish, which, of course, left the Predictor ordering unchanged.
Read More2022 - Round 26 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE 4PM SATURDAY
MoSHPlay finishes at Swans by 34 points.
UPDATE 7PM FRIDAY
MoSHPlay has wound it back a touch to Cats by 35 points.
UPDATE 6:45PM THURSDAY
MoSHPlay has it as the Cats by 37 points, and the Swans by 35 points.
2022 - Round 26 : Overs/Unders
/The MoS twins have quite different opinions this week, somewhat one with the other, but more so with both the bookmakers.
Read More2022 - Round 26 : Very Brave, Minister
/Week 3 of the Finals sees Geelong, the team from 1st on the ladder, meet Brisbane Lions from 6th, and Sydney, from 2nd, meet Collingwood from 4th.
Read More2022 - Team Ratings After Round 25
/MoSSBODS made no changes to its Top 6 this week, but it elevated the two winning teams, Collingwood and Brisbane Lions, above Carlton. MoSHBODS dropped Melbourne to 4th, behind Richmond, and moved Brisbane Lions up three spots, dropping Fremantle down two spots and Collingwood down one (despite gaining Rating Points) at the same time.
Read More2022 - Round 25 Results - Very Mean Regression
/It was 1 from 2 for all the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week, which left the ordering of the Leaderboard unchanged.
Read More2022 - Round 25 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE 6:45PM SATURDAY
MoSHPlay finishes at Pies by 7 points.
UPDATE 9:30PM THURSDAY
MoSHPlay is a bit less confident about the Dees’ chances than is MoSHBODS, and a lot less confident about the Pies’.
2022 - Round 25 : Overs/Unders
/The MoS twins are both expecting lower scores in both games this week compared to the two bookmakers.
Read More2022 - Round 25 : Appropriately Trained
/Week 2 of the Finals sees Melbourne, the team from 2nd on the ladder, meet Brisbane Lions from 6th, and Collingwood from 4th meet Fremantle from 5th.
Read More2022 - Team Ratings After Round 24
/There was movement towards the top of the two Rating Systems this week with Sydney leap frogging Melbourne into 2nd on both. Further down there were four more moves on MoSSBODS, the largest Fremantle’s 4-spot drop into 10th, and four more on MoSHBODS as well, the largest there being Collingwood’s 3-spot climb to 7th.
Ten teams are rated as above-average on MoSSBODS and the same number are rated as above-average on MoSHBODS.
Read More2022 - Round 24 Results - Extraordinary
/In a remarkable round of football, two favourites won this week, but the level of contrarianism meant that the all-Tipster average came in at 2.7 from 4, including 3s for all Tipsters except Bookie Knows Best and the RSMP twins.
That left MoSHBODS_Marg in outright 1st position, now on 151.5 from 202 (75%), and still one tip ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg, who also scored 3. Bookie Knows Best is now in joint 3rd, tied with MoSHPlay_Marg on 143.5.
Read More2022 - Round 24 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE 7:30PM SATURDAY
MoSHSPlay finishes at Dockers by 18 points.
UPDATE 4PM SATURDAY
MoSHSPlay finishes at Cats by 31 points.
UPDATE 7:15PM FRIDAY
Dees by 12 is MoSHSPlay’s final bid.
UPDATE 6:45PM THURSDAY
MoSHPlay is more bullish on the Cats and the Dockers than is MoSHBODS, but less bullish on the Dees.
UPDATE 6:45PM WEDNESDAY
It’s the Lions by just 1 point, according to MoSHPlay.
2022 - Round 24 : Overs/Unders
/MoSSBODS is something of an outlier this week, at least in terms of its average forecasted Total, but there is quite a bit of variability generally for each of the four games across the four forecasters.
Read More2022 - Round 24 : Home Ground Advantage
/As the table at right shows, teams playing at home in the first week of the Finals tend to do fairly well, least of all for teams finishing 5th, and most of all for teams finishing 1st and 2nd.
That hasn’t stopped the bookmakers from making the 7th-placed Richmond favourites playing away to the 6th-placed Brisbane Lions, or from making the other home teams favourites by only two-and-a-half to three goals.
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