2022 - Round 27 : Overs/Unders
/The MoS twins have similar views to the bookmakers’ about the Total we might see in the Grand Final, but very different ideas about the proportion of that Total that will be attributable to each team..
WAGERS
MoSSBODS has no value in the unders/overs market this week.
The estimated overlay in the game with the wager is just under 11 points..
PREVIOUS RESULTS
Honours for the lowest Mean Absolute Errors (MAEs) this week were again shared around, with MoSSBODS taking them for Game Margins, MoSSBODS for Home Team Scores, Sportsbet taking them for Game Totals, and the two bookmakers sharing them for Away Team Scores..
That left MoSSBODS still with the season-long best MAE for Game Margins and Home Team Scores, MoSHBODS still with the season-long best MAE for Game Totals, and the TAB still with the season-long best MAE for Away Team Scores.
The leads are as follows:
Game Margins: MoSSBODS 38 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Home Team Scores: MoSSBODS 3 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Away Team Scores: TAB 19 points ahead of Sportsbet (and 59 points ahead of MoSSBODS)
Game Totals: MoSHBODS 22 points ahead of MoSSBODS
MoSSBODS had one wager last week, an unders with the TAB, which was unsuccessful, and took its record with them to 30 and 18. It still has a 10 and 5 record with Sportsbet.
Across all games, MoSSBODS recorded a 1 from 2 result against the TAB, moving it to 119 from 206 (58%) for the season, and also a 1 from 2 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 116 from 206 (56%) for the season.
MoSHBODS recorded a 1 from 2 result against the TAB, moving it to 121 from 206 (59%) for the season against them, and also a 1 from 2 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 115 from 206 (56%) for the season against them.
