2022 - Team Ratings After Round 27

A Grand Final win that emphatic will surely have rating consequences, and indeed it has, dropping Sydney to 9th on MoSSBODS and 6th ion MoSHBODS for next season.

Ten teams finish the season rated as above-average on MoSSBODS and the same number - and the same teams - do likewise on MoSHBODS.

The correlation between MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS Combined Ratings finishes at +0.991, and the correlation on defence alone at +0.986 and on offence alone at +0.992.

The animation below maps the path that each 2022 team has followed to reach its final Rating for 2022.

You can see that Geelong put even more space between itself and Sydney this week, a fact that is also apparent in the static view of the teams’ combined MoSSBODS Ratings, as shown below.

The updated MoSHBODS version shows the same phenomenon.

On the Component Ratings, on offence, we find MoSSBODS finishing with a Top 3 of Cats, Tigers, and Power, while MoSHBODS has it as Cats, Tigers, and Swans. On defence, we have MoSSBODS still and finally with a Top 3 of Cats, Dees, and Pies, and MoSHBODS with a Top 3 still and finally of Cats, Dockers, and Dees.

For some historical context, here’s where all 18 of the 2022 teams finished at the end of the Grand Final.

Such was the dominance of the Cats’ win that they find themselves 5th all-time on the MoSSBODS ranking.

And, finally, to MARS, which re-ranked only two teams this week, swapping Melbourne into 2nd at the expense of Sydney.

Ten teams finish the season rated as better-than-average by MARS, with St Kilda rated just under than mark at 997.

The Rating gap between first and last ends at just over 116 Rating Points, which is up another 6 Rating Points on last week.

MARS ends the season with the outright most-extreme ranking for eight of the teams, MoSSBODS for five, and MoSHBODS for three.

MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS agree about the ranking of 10 teams, MoSHBODS and MARS about 7 teams, and MoSSBODS and MARS about 9 teams.

If we consider the range of rankings that the three Systems have attached to each team, we find that Collingwood and now Sydney (6 spots) have the widest range of rankings, and that the range is just two spots or less for 14 of the remaining 16 teams.

The three Systems finish with the same ranking for Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, North Melbourne, St Kilda, and West Coast.