2016 - Round 10 Results - That's My Line

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This week saw a return to profitability - the first in four weeks - thanks solely to a season-high +7.6c return for the Line Fund from its 2 from 2 performance. The Head-to-Head Fund missed with its only two attempts, meaning that it has now shed almost 25% of its initial value over the last six rounds. Nonetheless, thanks to its remarkable start to the season, it remains up by 10.5c overall.

The Overs/Unders Fund managed just 3 from 6 for the weekend, shedding 0.6c to leave it down 1.4c on the season. 

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2016 - Round 9 Results - The Wrong Kind of Upsets

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Only three teams lost this weekend who were favourites with the TAB at the start of the week. Two of those losses were by teams Investors had no interest in, there being no head-to-head or line action in their games, and the third, Fremantle's, was an unwelcome one, since the Head-to-Head Fund had opted for the home team favourite and the Line Fund had taken the Dockers giving 2.5 points start.

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2016 Round 9 : Minor ChiPS Changes

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In providing ChiPS with the results of last weekend's games, I neglected to include the score in the final game of the round.

As, a consequence, ChiPS' predictions for the two games involving the Eagles and the Saints have been changed as follows:

  • West Coast is now tipped to win by 15 points, not 7, and Port Adelaide's victory probability is now assessed as 34%
  • St Kilda is now tipped to win by 26 points, not 34, and their victory probability is now assessed as 76%

ChiPS also now rates West Coast 2nd above GWS and Sydney. St Kilda fall from 12th to 14th.

There are no other changes.

2016 Round 6 : Tending the Wounds

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This feels like an important week for the MoS Funds, even if it is still very early in the season. With, in footballing terms, a 4 and 1 start for Overall Portfolio profitability, a move to 5 and 1 would provide more evidence that the various algorithms are spotting value, while a slide to 4 and 2 would raise a small query about the relative contributions of luck and talent to those initial successes.

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