2023 - Round 10 : Overs/Unders

/

Overall, the MoS twins are a little more pessimistic about scoring this week and have the all-game average about half-a-goal lower, though never more than a goal-and-a-half for any single game.

As highests and lowests, we have:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS: Essendon v Richmond

  • MoSHBODS: North Melbourne v Sydney

  • Bookmakers: Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • MoS twins: GWS v St Kilda

  • Bookmakers: Western Bulldogs v Adelaide

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Sydney

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS and Bookmakers: North Melbourne

  • MoSHBODS: Carlton

WAGERS

Investors have four wagers this week, all of them on the under.

The estimated overlays for the games where we’ve a wager are all between 7.5 and 9 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Honours for the lowest Mean Absolute Errors (MAEs) this week were again shared around, with MoSHBODS taking Away Team Scores, the TAB taking Game Margins and Home Team Scores, and MoSSBODS taking Game Totals.

MoSSBODS no longer holds the season-long best MAE for Game Margins, that being taken this week by the TAB Bookmaker, who also held onto Home Team Scores and now shares best MAE for Game Totals with the Sportsbet bookmaker. MoSHBODS still has best MAE for Away Team Scores.

The leads are as follows:

Game Margins: TAB 3.6 points ahead of MoSHBODS and 10.6 points ahead of MoSSBODS

Home Team Scores: TAB 9 points ahead of Sportsbet, and 63 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Away Team Scores: MoSHBODS 13.6 points ahead of MoSSBODS, and 21 points ahead of the TAB

Game Totals: TAB tied with Sportsbet, and 11 points ahead of MoSHBODS

MoSSBODS had two wagers last week, both unders wagers with the TAB. One won and one lost, taking the season record to 11 wins and 11 losses.

Across all games, MoSSBODS recorded 3 from 9 results against both bookmakers, while MoSHBODS recorded a 5 from 9 result against both.

That moved MoSSBODS to a 38 from 81 (47%) record against the TAB, and a 37 from 81 (46% ) record against Sportsbet. MoSHBODS now has a 42 from 81 (52%) record against the TAB, and a 43 from 81 (53%) record against Sportsbet.