2022 - Round 2 : Overs/Unders

The MoS twins, again, are foreshadowing larger totals than are the bookmakers this week, with the bookmakers’ average over two goals under last week’s recorded 176 points per game, and the MoS twins two to five points higher.

There are. however, some larger differences in individual games, more on which later, but looking at the highests and lowests, we have:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Essendon v Brisbane Lions

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Western Bulldogs v Carlton

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Port Adelaide v Hawthorn

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Sydney v Geelong

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Melbourne

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Port Adelaide

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Essendon

  • TAB: Western Bulldogs

  • Sportsbet: PortAdelaide

No team is expected to top 100 points by any of the forecasters.

WAGERS

Just two wagers again this week, both of them again overs, with a third rejected because of the forecast of rain for the SCG on Friday.

Estimated overlays range from about 0 to 16 points, with roughly 8.5 and 12 point overlays in the two games where Investors have wagers.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 1 was a profitable one for Totals betting using MoSSBODS’ opinions, and saw MoSSBODS record the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Totals, MoSHBODS do the same for Game Margins and Home Team Scores, and Sportsbet take the honours for Away Team Scores.

MoSSBODS won both of its overs wagers with the TAB.

Across all games, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS are now 6 from 9 (67%) against the TAB and Sportsbet.