2021 - Team Ratings After Round 10
/The Dogs opened up a gap over Melbourne at the top of both Systems this week, which finished with the two Raters having an identical Top 8 after the Lions and Cats traded 3rd and 4th, and the Giants and Blues traded 7th and 8th.
The big climbers on MoSSBODS were Fremantle (up 3), and Essendon and Gold Coast (up 2), while the biggest fall was registered by St Kilda (down 6). On MoSHBODS, the only teams moving multiple spots were Essendon (up 2), Sydney (down 2), and St Kilda (down 3).
The correlation between MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS Combined Ratings now stands at +0.9982, and the Rating gap between 1st and 8th stands at 8.2 Scoring Shots on MoSSBODS (up 2.5 Scoring Shots), and 28.4 Points on MoSHBODS (up 7.2 points).
On the Component Ratings, on Offence both Systems still have Top 3s of Dogs, Lions, and Blues, while on Defence they both now have Top 3s of Dees, Dogs, and Cats.
On MoSSBODS, 6 teams are now rated positively on offence and defence (no change), 5 are rated negatively on both (down 1), 3 are rated positively on offence but negatively on defence (up 1), and 4 are rated negatively on offence but positively on defence (no change). The correlation between the teams’ MoSSBODS offensive and defensive Ratings now stands at +0.662, which is up a little on last week’s number.
In the animation below, we can see the path that each team has taken to arrive at its current Rating.
And, finally, as always, to MARS, which re-ranked only six teams this week, including elevating Western Bulldogs from 3rd into 1st, and Essendon from 13th into 10th, as well as demoting St Kilda from 10th to 14th.
No other teams moved by more than a single spot.
With GWS now Rated at 1,001.0, MARS now has nine teams rated as better-than-average, with four more Rated 990 or above.
The Rating gap between first and last now stands at just under 67 Rating Points. By comparison, at the same point last year the range was just under 59 Rating Points.
The gap between 1st and 8th is just over 24 Rating Points, which equates to roughly 18 points at a neutral venue. 1st and 7th, though, are separated by only 14.1 Rating Points.
Looking across the rankings of all three Systems and ordering the teams based on the current competition ladder, we find the highest differences for Carlton and Richmond where Rating System rankings are relatively higher than Ladder position, and for Sydney where Rating System rankings are relatively lower than Ladder position.
MARS continues to provide the most outlying rankings of the three Systems, it having the outright most-extreme ranking still for 10 of the teams.
By comparison, MoSSBODS has the outright most-extreme ranking for five teams, and MoSHBODS has it for only one.
MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS now agree about the ranking of 13 teams, MoSSBODS and MARS about the ranking of five teams, and MoSHBODS and MARS about the ranking of seven teams.
Lastly, if we consider the range of rankings that the three Systems have attached to each team, we find that Sydney and West Coast have the widest range of rankings (four spots), while 14 teams have rankings that differ by no more than two spots, including Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Hawthorn, and North Melbourne, and Western Bulldogs, for which all three Systems have the same ranking.
