2021 - Round 15 Results - All's Well ...
/A relatively more difficult round to pick, in which only five of the nine favourites were successful, saw the all-Tipster head-to-head average come in at just 4.8, but with all but Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder scoring five from nine. The three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard with MoSSBODS_Marg remaining in 1st and now on 87.5 from 126 (69%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg and MoSHPlay_Marg on 86.5 (69%), one clear of RSMP_Weighted on 85.5 (68%).
MoSSBODS_Marg recorded the week’s best mean absolute error (MAE) amongst the Margin Predictors, returning a competition-best of 24 points per game, keeping it safely in 2nd behind MoSHBODS_Marg.
The only movement on the Leaderboard Bookie_9’s climb into 4th place, leap-frogging MoSHPlay_Marg and RSMP_Simple.
The all-Predictor MAE was 25.9 points per game, up almost 10 points per game on last week’s average.
Amongst the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, only the MoS trio recorded positive log probability scores, albeit small ones, as the Bookmaker trio all registered slightly negative scores. Best amongst the field was MoSSBODS_Prob, although its score wasn’t enough to lift it out of 3rd spot on the ladder, behind MoSHBODS_Prob, which retook top spot from MoSHPlay_Prob.
WAGERS
Investors’ fate was almost certainly going to revolve around the action on Sunday afternoon, and the Dogs’ comfortable win over the Eagles, coupled with the Blues’ cling-on 10-point victory over the Crows, was enough to ensure that a fairly sizeable profit was made, the highest for a single round since Round 6. All three Funds finished in the black for the first time since Round 4, and only the second time this season.
The overall profit for the Combined Portfolio for the round was 2.8c, which moved it to a season-long profit of 13.8c, that from a +19.9% ROT on an 0.7 turn.
