2018 - Team Ratings After Round 25 (Week 2 of the Finals)

Richmond’s lead over Melbourne rose a little (to 0.6 Scoring Shots) on MoSSBODS, but fell a little (to 1.3 points) on MoSSBODS, as the two Systems reacted slightly differently to Melbourne’s 104 points to 71, and 24 scoring shots to 21, victory over Hawthorn.

On both Systems, Collingwood rose by a spot this week, into 4th on MoSSBODS and 3rd on MoSHBODS, leaving MoSSBODS with an unchanged Top 3 of Richmond, Melbourne and then GWS, and MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Richmond, Melbourne and then Collingwood.

That left the two Systems agreeing, in total, about the ranking of nine teams, while differing in the ranking of only St Kilda by more than a single place. MoSSBODS has them 12th and MoSHBODS 14th.

Looking next at the component ratings, we see that:

  • MoSSBODS still has a Top 3 on offence of Melbourne, Richmond, and then Adelaide

  • MoSHBODS still has a Top 3 on offence of Melbourne, Richmond, and then Essendon

  • MoSSBODS now has a Top 3 on defence of Richmond, Collingwood and then Melbourne, with GWS falling out of the three to make way for a surging Collingwood.

  • MoSHBODS has a Top 3 on defence of Richmond, West Coast and then Collingwood, with the Pies re-taking 3rd from the Giants this week.

On offence, Melbourne is now rated 0.8 Scoring Shots better than Richmond by MoSSBODS, and still 4.4 points better than Richmond by MoSHBODS.

On defence, Richmond is rated 1.2 Scoring Shots better than Collingwood by MoSSBODS, and still 3.8 points better than West Coast by MoSHBODS.

Across all 18 teams, we now have West Coast ranked 5th by MoSSBODS on defence, and 2nd by MoSHBODS, with no other team ranked more than two places differently on either offence or defence by the two Systems. 

The latest version of the animated GIF of MoSSBODS ratings appears below, and shows movements up or down by 0.5 Scoring Shots or more on either offence or defence only for:

  • Collingwood +0.8 on defence

  • GWS -0.8 on offence

On Combined Rating, the big movers were:

  • Collingwood +0.9 / GWS -0.9

MoSSBODS Ratings At End of Rounds 1 to 25 - Smooth.gif

As things stand now:

  • eight teams have a positive offensive and a positive defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

  • one has a positive offensive and a negative defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

  • three have a negative offensive and a positive defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

  • six have a negative offensive and a negative defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

In total, nine teams now have a positive offensive rating while 11 have a positive defensive rating.

Neither ChiPS nor MARS re-ranked any team this week, leaving both Systems still agreeing that the Top 3 teams are Richmond, Melbourne, and Geelong.

More broadly, the two Systems still agree about the ranking of 10 teams, and differ by more than two places only in their ranking of Adelaide, which ChiPS ranks 12th and MARS 9th.

Looking across the team rankings of all four Systems we find the largest disparities for:

  • Sydney, ranked five places differently across the Rating Systems, from 8th to 13th

  • Geelong, ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems, from 3rd to 7th

  • Essendon, ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems, from 6th to 10th

  • Adelaide, ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems, from 8th to 12th

  • No other team is ranked more than three places differently across the Rating Systems.