2018 - Round 20 Results - A Small Setback
/The RSMP twins regained lost ground this week, but still sit three tips behind the second-placed Bookie Knows Best and four behind the leader, ENS_Linear, who is now on 122.5 from 171 (72%).
The MoS twins, however, lost ground by recording the lowest totals for the week, dragging the all-Tipster average down to 6 from 9.
The twins also fared relatively poorly as Margin Predictors, with MoSSBODS_Marg returning the round's worst mean absolute error (MAE) of 25.6 points per game, and MoSHBODS_Marg returning the third-worst MAE of 25.0 points per game. Those are not terrible MAEs at all bit, in context, were high.
In the broader context, however, they served only to slip MoSSBODS_Marg back into 3rd behind Bookie_LPSO, but left MoSHBODS_Marg still in 2nd-last.
The round's best MAEs were set by the Predictors still in 1st and 2nd place, both returning MAEs of about 21.4 points per game.
Probability Scores for the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors were again high this week (even for C_Prob), but were highest of all for the Bookie trio, which lifted Bookie_OE and Bookie_RE ahead of MoSSBODS_Prob.
WAGERS
The story of this week was that the Line and Head-to-Head Funds couldn't make up for the losses of the Overs/Unders Fund.
In fact, the Head-to-Head Fund recorded a loss of its own after being on the wrong side of close results in the Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne, and Sydney v Collingwood games. It wound up shedding just under 5c.
A similar loss was recorded by the Overs/Unders Fund, leaving the Line Fund as the weekend's sole profit generator, it rising by 1.5c on a 2 from 3 performance.
In aggregate, the Combined Portfolio fell by 2.5c to finish down by 5.2c on the season from a -3.2% ROI on about a 1.64 turn.
