2016 - Round 13 Results - The Line Fund Delivers While The Dons Tease

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Any week that the Overall Portfolio increases in value is a week I'll gratefully accept, albeit that a monster head-to-head profit seemed possible for a large part of the final game of the round.

In the end, profit was the sole responsibility of the Line Fund, its 4 from 4 performance and 7.4% increase its second-best haul of the season. Elsewhere, the Head-to-Head Fund managed just 1 from 4 for the weekend, continuing its long-term form slump and leaving it now up by only 2% on the season. Losses were also made by the Overs/Unders Fund, which guessed correctly only 1 time in 2 to drop 4% on the round and plunge back into a net loss position for the season.

All told, the Overall Portfolio rose by just over 1c to now be up by 14.8c on the season.

TIPS AND PREDICTIONS

The weekend's only losing favourite was Port Adelaide, which made for generally high scores on head-to-head tipping. ENS_Greedy and ENS_Linear did best, bagging all six, and the all-Tipster average was 4.8.

MoSSBODS_Marg's 5 from 6 was good enough to allow it to maintain top spot on the MoS Leaderboard and to preserve its two tip lead. It now has an 87 and 27 (76%) record.

RSMP_Simple had the best mean absolute error (MAE) amongst the Margin Predictors, its 20.9 points per game MAE allowing it to grab third place on the Leaderboard. C_Marg's MAE was 23.4 points per game and saw it retain 1st spot, its lead over Bookie_LPSO now standing at just over 12 goals.

The all-Predictor average MAE for the week was 23.1 points per game per Predictor.

Eleven of the MoS Margin Predictors currently have better-than-chance records on line betting, and all but Bookie_9 have records sufficiently above chance that they could have made a profit wagering in the Line Market at $1.90 in every game. MoSSBODS_Marg, despite languishing on overall MAE, has one of the best line betting records of all the Margin Predictors.

C_Prob, again, turned in the weekend's best probability score and, as a consequence, held down 1st place on the Leaderboard. The four other Head-to-Head Probability Predictors recorded very similar scores and remained in the same order at the end of the round as they were at the start of it.