MatterOfStats 2023 : Team Dashboard for Round 18

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The latest Ranking on Dashboard metrics data appears below, and now shows that the strongest rank correlations with ladder positions are currently associated with:

  • Percentage of Quarters Won (+0.88)

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.84)

  • Q4 Performances (+0.81)

  • Opponent Scoring: Goals (+0.78)

  • Scoring Shots Conceded (+0.78)

  • Opponent Scoring: Points (+0.76)

  • Own Scoring: Points (+0.75)

  • Own Scoring: Goals (+0.72)

The weakest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.36)

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.41)

Adelaide’s statistics are particularly interesting at the moment as they are Top 5 on six different metrics, including Expected Wins, and Top 8 on four more, despite sitting 12th on the Ladder.

The full Extended Team Dashboard appears below, and shows that:

  • Brisbane Lions, Geelong, Melbourne, and Port Adelaide are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters taken separately.

  • Sydney have outscored their opponents in Q1s , Q2s, and Q3s, but lie 14th on the ladder.

  • Fremantle, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters taken separately

  • Brisbane Lions’, Fremantle’s, Geelong’s, St Kilda’s, and West Coast’s conversion has fallen off dramatically in Q4s this season. West Coast have been outscored 2:1 in every quarter except Q3s.

  • St Kilda, despite sitting 6th on the ladder, have lost more quarters than they’ve won.

  • Collingwood’s opponents have converted at only 35% in Q4s this season

  • By way of contrast, Port Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 61% in Q4s, and Richmond’s, Essendon’s and Fremantle’s at 58%.