MatterOfStats 2021 : Team Dashboard for Round 14
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics data, which still shows that one of the most reliable scoring-based metrics for determining a team’s ladder position is the MoS Win Production Function, which now, after all teams have played 13 games, suggests that:
Melbourne have won 1.7 games more than expected
St Kilda have won 1.4 games more than expected
Fremantle have won 0.8 games more than expected
Collingwood have won 1.1 games fewer than expected
Carlton have won 1.0 games fewer than expected
Essendon have won 0.9 games fewer than expected
Gold Coast have won 0.8 games fewer than expected
Ordering the teams based on Expected Wins would see:
St Kilda drop 4 places to 16th
Adelaide drop 3 places to 15th
Melbourne drop 3 places to 4th
Collingwood climb 3 places to 12th
Brisbane Lions climb 2 places to 2nd
Gold Coast climb 2 places to 14th
No other team would move up or down by more than a single spot.
The full Team Dashboard appears below, a few of the interesting things from which are that:
West Coast have scored 32% of their points in Q2s
Fremantle have scored 32% of their points in Q3s
Carlton have scored 18% of their points in Q4s
West Coast have recorded 58.9% of their Scoring Shots as goals, Fremantle only 45.1%
Carlton’s opponents have registered 56% of their Scoring Shots as goals, Geelong’s only 47.5%
Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, and St Kilda are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in each of the four quarters considered separately
Brisbane Lions, Geelong, Melbourne, and Port Adelaide are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in each of the four quarters considered separately
Western Bulldogs have outscored their opponents by over 2:1 in Q4s, but been outscored by them in Q3s