MatterOfStats 2021 : Team Dashboard for Round 14

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Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics data, which still shows that one of the most reliable scoring-based metrics for determining a team’s ladder position is the MoS Win Production Function, which now, after all teams have played 13 games, suggests that:

  • Melbourne have won 1.7 games more than expected

  • St Kilda have won 1.4 games more than expected

  • Fremantle have won 0.8 games more than expected

  • Collingwood have won 1.1 games fewer than expected

  • Carlton have won 1.0 games fewer than expected

  • Essendon have won 0.9 games fewer than expected

  • Gold Coast have won 0.8 games fewer than expected

Ordering the teams based on Expected Wins would see:

  • St Kilda drop 4 places to 16th

  • Adelaide drop 3 places to 15th

  • Melbourne drop 3 places to 4th

  • Collingwood climb 3 places to 12th

  • Brisbane Lions climb 2 places to 2nd

  • Gold Coast climb 2 places to 14th

No other team would move up or down by more than a single spot.

The full Team Dashboard appears below, a few of the interesting things from which are that:

  • West Coast have scored 32% of their points in Q2s

  • Fremantle have scored 32% of their points in Q3s

  • Carlton have scored 18% of their points in Q4s

  • West Coast have recorded 58.9% of their Scoring Shots as goals, Fremantle only 45.1%

  • Carlton’s opponents have registered 56% of their Scoring Shots as goals, Geelong’s only 47.5%

  • Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, and St Kilda are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in each of the four quarters considered separately

  • Brisbane Lions, Geelong, Melbourne, and Port Adelaide are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in each of the four quarters considered separately

  • Western Bulldogs have outscored their opponents by over 2:1 in Q4s, but been outscored by them in Q3s