MatterOfStats 2021 : Team Dashboard for Round 13

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Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics data, which is ordered based firstly on each team’s competition points per game played, and then based on percentage:

The most reliable metrics for determining a team’s ladder position ordered in this way are now Percent of Quarters Won, the MoS Win Production Function, and then Q2 Performances (with a slew of other metrics not far behind).

Looking at that MoS Win Production Function suggests that:

  • Melbourne have won 1.7 games more than expected

  • St Kilda have won 1.4 games more than expected

  • Fremantle have won 0.8 games more than expected

  • Essendon have won 1.2 games fewer than expected

  • Collingwood have won 1.1 games fewer than expected

  • Carlton have won 1.0 games fewer than expected

  • Gold Coast have won 0.9 games fewer than expected

The full Team Dashboard appears below, a few of the interesting things from which are that:

  • Adelaide have finally won a Q3

  • West Coast have scored 32% of their points in Q2s

  • Fremantle have scored 32% of their points in Q3s

  • Carlton have scored 18% of their points in Q4s

  • West Coast have recorded 58.9% of their Scoring Shots as goals, Fremantle only 45.1%

  • Essendon’s opponents have registered 56.6% of their Scoring Shots as goals, Geelong only 47.5%

  • Carlton, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, and St Kilda are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in each of the four quarters considered separately

  • Brisbane Lions, Geelong, Melbourne, and Port Adelaide are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in each of the four quarters considered separately

  • Geelong have outscored their opponents by almost 2:1 in Q3s, but only barely outscored them in Q4s

  • Western Bulldogs have outscored their opponents by over 2:1 in Q4s, but been outscored by them in Q3s