Where Can I Find a MAFL Analysis of X?

Where Can I Find a MoS Analysis of X?

Statistical analyses aim to summarise and present AFL data in interesting or useful ways. Some of them are purely descriptive, while others shed light on specific questions.

MoS posts often revisit the same or a similar topic days, weeks, or even years apart (sometimes - I'll be honest - to my surprise too). The following list provides links to posts on a number of these recurring themes.

(2016 Update: I've not amended or expanded the lists that follow in quite a while. If you can't find what you're after, try searching using the options under the Search The Site section in the navigation bar on the right.)

Team Rankings and Records

• Team of the Decade (1999-2008)
• Teams' All-Time WDL Records (1897-2008)
• Teams' All-Time Win Rates (1897-2008 by 16-year epoch)
• Teams' All-Time Ladder Finish Records (1897-2008)
• Spread of MARS Ratings at End of Home-and-Away Season (1999-2010)
• Win Production Function (1897-2010)
• Underachieving and Overachieving Teams (1897-2010)

Quarter-by-Quarter Analyses

• Proportion of Time Winning Team Wins Particular Quarter (1897-2008)
• Number of Quarters Won by Winnng Team in Each Game (1897-2008)
• Game Cadence (1897-2009 midseason and 1980-2008)
• Number of Lead Changes From One Quarter to the Next - Total Number in Game and Proportion From Quarter N to Quarter N+1 (1897-2010)

Scoring and Margins of Victory

• Average Margin of Victory (1897-2008)
• Margins of Victory Across the Seasons (1897-2011)
• Measures of Game Competitiveness (1897-2011)
• Proportion of Close Games (1897-2008)
• Winners' Share of Scoring - Goals, Behinds and Scoring Shots (1897-2008)
• Total Number of Goals and Behinds per Game (1897-2008)
• Number of Goals and Behinds per Game (1897-2009 + early rounds of 2010)
• Number of Goals and Behinds by Quarter within Epoch (1897-2009 + early rounds of 2010)
• Goalkicking Accuracy Across All Teams (1897-2009 + early rounds of 2010)
• Average Team Conversion Rate by Round (1995-2009)
• Distribution of Percentage of Points Scored by Each Team in a Game (2006-2008)
• Ability of Teams to Defend Leads at Quarter Ends (1897-2008 by 16-Year Epochs)
• Initial Blog: Are Teams That Trail at a Change More Likely to Win?
• Follow Up Blog (Separate analysis of home vs away teams)
• Teams' Winning Rate Based on Scoring Shot and Score Difference at the End of each Quarter (1897-2009 and 1980-2009)
• Home Team Winning Rate by Season (1897-2009 and early rounds of 2010)
• Home Team Winning Rate by Season - Melbourne v Interstate Teams (1897-2009 and early rounds of 2010)
• Average Difference Between Home Team and Away Team Scores (1897-2009 and early rounds of 2010)
• Average Difference Between Home Team and Away Team Scores - Melbourne and Interstate Teams When Playing at Home (1897-2009 and early rounds of 2010)
• Average Home Team Handicap-Adjusted Margin by Season and Points Start (2006-2009 and half of 2010)
• Home Team Winning Percentage by Season and Points Start (2006-2009 and half of 2010)
• Average Favourite's Handicap-Adjusted Margin by Season and Points Start (2006-2009 and half of 2010)
• Favourite's Winning Percentage by Season and Points Start (2006-2009 and half of 2010)
• Average Home Team and Away Team Handicap for Given Head-to-Head Price (2006-2009 and half of 200)

Season-to-Season and Ladder-Based Analyses

• Ladder Positions from One Year to the Next (1997-2008)
• Ladder Positions from One Year to the Next (1925-2008)
• Number of Finalists That Were in Top Eight After X Rounds (1997-2009)
• Average Season-End Ladder Finish of Teams from Certain Position After X Rounds (1997-2009)
• Proportion of Times That a Team is a Finalist if in a Certain Ladder Position After X Rounds (1997-2009)
• Proportion of Times That a Team Finishes in the Top 4 if in a Certain Ladder Position After X Rounds (1997-2009)
• Team by Team End of Home-and-Away Season MARS Ratings and Ladder Position Finishes (1999-2010)
• Spread of MARS Ratings by End of Home-and-Away Season Ladder Position (1999-2010)

Return to MoS Primer | Statistical Analysis, Modelling and Prediction