2017 - Round 7 Results - Consult The Ladder Bags a Bagel
/What an extraordinary round that was, with every one of the nine victors a team that started the week lower on the competition ladder than did the team they beat.
Read MoreWhat an extraordinary round that was, with every one of the nine victors a team that started the week lower on the competition ladder than did the team they beat.
Read MoreThe likelihood of rain at Bellerive on Saturday seems to have led to a relatively large difference in the Totals posted by the TAB and Centrebet for the Roos v Adelaide game being played there then.
Read MoreThe usual suspects aside, there's not much disagreement amongst the forecaster families this week, with overall disagreement levels registering new or equal lows for both the Head-to-Head Tipsters and the Margin Predictors.
Read MoreMoSSBODS now rates Port Adelaide a fractionally better side than GWS after a weekend in which the Giants conceded 28 scoring shots to the Dogs, and Port racked up 40 against the Lions. MoSHBODS also rates the two teams almost equally but puts the Giants narrowly ahead.
Read MoreOnly five of the round's favourites prevailed this weekend, but the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters still managed to average 5.9 correct tips, bolstered most of all by MoSSBODS_Marg's haul of 7 from 9.
Read MoreThis week, the average absolute difference between MoSSBODS' and the bookmakers' opinions about game totals is about 7 points per game. In seven of the games, the difference is more than six points, which has led to the most wagering activity we've seen from the Over/Under Fund this season. But more about that in a moment.
Read MoreThis week, the forecasters - well, at least those that don't take bookmaker input - are split more in terms of victory margins than they are in terms of picking winners.
Read MoreAdelaide did enough this week, according to MoSSBODS, to reclaim 1st position and also did enough, according to MoSHBODS, to retain 1st position on Combined Ratings.
Read MoreThis (extended) weekend, eight of the nine winners were ranked higher on the competition ladder than their opponents going into the round, but only seven were favourites. As a result, Consult The Ladder (CTL) recorded its equal-best single round result of the season so far.
Read MoreOf course they did; of course they did.
Read MoreMonday football makes for busy weeks at the MoS Factory and seemingly no gap between one round and the next.
Read MoreIt's instructive this week to see how MoSHBODS and MoSSBODS have treated the results for Adelaide and GWS.
Read MoreAs regular readers of this blog will know, one of the aspects of the 2017 season that I was particularlylooking forward to was the battle between MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, and between both of them and the other MoS forecasters, especially those based on the TAB Bookmaker's opinions.
Read MoreChiPS has had a rethink about the Carlton v Gold Coast, and Hawthorn v Geelong games (now that I've told it about the result of last week's Gold Coast v Hawthorn game ...)
Read MoreI'm currently facing a set of mutually incompatible objectives in my over/under wagering and its chronicling here on the blog.
Read MoreChiPS has continued its run of contrarian forecasts this week.
Read MoreAdelaide continues to impress MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, and remains as the number 1 team for both, variously considered as a +7.4 Scoring Shot better-than-average team by MoSSBODS and a +27.1 point better-than-average team by MoSHBODS when playing at a neutral venue against an average team.
Read MoreIt's almost always a tough round for the rational Head-to-Head Tipsters when Home Sweet Home (HSH) records the best performance of all of them. Only MoSSBODS_Marg managed to do almost as well as HSH's 6 from 9, it's 5 from 9 moving it to 16 from 27 (59%) for the season and dragging it into a five-way tie for second behind ENS_Linear's 17 from 27 (63%).
Read MoreThe bookmakers have as many as five games producing over 200 points this week, the Saints v Lions game foremost among them where both the TAB and Centrebet have set the total at 206.5.
Read MoreWe're back to Round 1 levels of disagreement this week, much of this fuelled by Consult The Ladder and Home Sweet Home amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, and by C_Marg and C_Prob elsewhere.
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