2012 Round 11 : Wagers & Tips - A Quieter Round

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This week marks the start of a slightly odd period of the season, lasting three rounds, in each of which we'll see 12 teams and six more teams having the bye. In effect, we have two whole rounds spread over three weeks. Across this week's six games the Line Fund has seen fit to lob money at the Home team in five of them, and the Margin Fund has made the same decision in two. The Head-to-Head Fund, meantime, has elected to declare its own bye for this week by absteining from gambling entirely.
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2012 Round 10 : Wagers & Tips - Another Wait

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I'm beginning to wonder if I should mentally plan to write up the week's wagers on Thursday rather than Wednesday nights, so regularly reticent has the TAB bookmaker become in posting markets on games involving GWS. This week, as well as making us wait for Line, Head-to-Head and SuperMargin markets for Saturday's Cats v Giants game, he's also bet-shy about Sunday's Pies v Suns game.

I'll save the full details for tomorrow night but for now just mention that we've already committed to one head-to-head, three line, and four margin wagers, and that I expect to add another line and two margin wagers once the markets come up.

2012 Round 9 : Wagers & Tips - A Drawn Conclusion

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The GWS v Essendon line market finally went up late this evening (Thursday) with the Giants receiving 70.5 points start, 10 points fewer than I was expecting. Unfazed, the Line Fund algorithm felt that almost 12 goals start represented value and so added the Giants to its already-committed bevy of 5 wagers, making it 6 wagers in total, or 30% of its initial wealth, half on favourites and half on underdogs.
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A Giant Omission

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I've locked in all the bets for Round 9 except one: a line bet on GWS. Assuming that they receive around the 80.5 points start I expect them to we'll be on them, but until they do and we are a full blog post will need to wait.

For now I'll just reveal that we've already placed 2 head-to-head wagers, 5 line bets and 4 SuperMargin wagers - including one particularly intriguing bet - covering 7 of the 9 games. 

More soon ...

2012 Round 8 : Wagers & Tips - It's Raining Buckets

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Last season, whenever the head-to-head markets opened with a slew of Home team favourites, I feared we were in for a weekend of huge risk and minimal reward. This year, to prevent this, I implemented a minimum price constraint on head-to-head wagers, which has served to restrict the Head-to-Head Fund to just two wagers this week, one on the Pies at $1.70 and the other on the Bombers at $1.50.
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2012 Round 7 Interim Results

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There's still a match to be played to complete Round 7 so I'll save the detailed review of the round for tomorrow night.

In the meantime, the headline result for Investors is that they're up by about 1.75c on the round, which leaves Overall Portfolios at around one-tenth of a cent under breakeven for the season. We've the Head-to-Head Fund to thank for the week's profit, its 2 from 2 performance lifting its price by almost 11c for the round and taking it to $1.063.

The Line Fund's 2 and 2 performance knocked 1 cent off its price leaving it at $0.91, while the Margin Fund's 0 and 2 record stripped 5c from its price, taking it to $1.125.