2022 - Round 21 Results - Another Step Closer
/Early-week favourites fared generally poorly this week, with only five of them taking the competition points. The Top 3 Tipsters on the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard all scored five from nine, which left MoSHBODS_Marg one tip clear at the top of the Leaderboard and now on 133.5 from 171 (74%), ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg on 132.5 (74%), and then Bookie Knows Best on 125.5 (70%). MoSHPlay_Marg is a further tip back on 124.5 (69%).
The all-Tipster average came in at 4.8 from 9, dropping the all-Tipster all-season average to just under 69%.
The Margin Predictors were all impressively accurate again this week, with the low mean absolute error (MAE) of 18.7 points per game being registered by RSMP_Weighted, and the high MAE of 21.6 points per game being registered by our leader, MoSSBODS_Marg. It leads MoSHPlay_Marg now by, just 9 points, with MoSHBODS_Marg another 25 points further back.
There was no movement on the Leaderboard.
The all-Predictor average came in at 19.9 points per game, which dropped the all-season all-Predictor average to 24.5 points per game.
Log probability scores were all positive again this week, but only just, with the best score being recorded by Bookie_RE, and the worst by MoSHPlay_Prob.
Nonetheless, MoSHPlay_Prob still sits third on the Leaderboard, which remains topped by MoSSBODS_Prob who is followed by MoSHBODS_Prob.
WAGERING
Brisbane Lions lifted the Head-to-Head Fund’s value by 2c this week and ensured that Investors were in for a ninth successive profitable week
The overall round profit for the Combined Portfolio was 0.9c, which moved it to a season-long profit of 47.2c, that from a +46% ROT on a 1.02 turn.
