2021 - Round 24 : Overs/Unders

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This week the MoS forecasters, overall, have similar opinions to the bookmakers’ about likely Total scores, but somewhat different opinions about what individual teams score to reach those Totals.

Looking at the highests and lowests, we have.

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoS twins: Melbourne v Brisbane Lions

  • Bookmakers: Port Adelaide v Geelong

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • MoS twins: Port Adelaide v Geelong

  • Bookmakers: Melbourne v Brisbane Lions

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoS twins: Melbourne

  • Bookmakers: Western Bulldogs

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoS twins: Geelong

  • Bookmakers: Essendon

WAGERS

Investors have just one unders wagers this week (and one overs wager declined based on the forecast)

The estimated overlay for the wager is just over 11 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 23 had MoSSBODS recording the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Margins, and the TAB doing the same for Home Team Scores, Away Team Scores, and Game Totals.

That left MoSSBODS still with the best season-long performance on Away Team Scores, Sportsbet with the best season-long performances on Game Margins and Game Totals, and the TAB with the best season-long performance on Home Team Scores.

MoSSBODS won only one of its five unders wagers last week, which were all with the TAB. That left it with a 30 and 36 record with the TAB, and a 7 and 8 record with Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS finished on the right side of the Totals in 3 games against both the TAB and 4 games against Sportsbet, leaving MoSSBODS at 103 from 198 (52%) against the TAB, and 100 from 198 (51%) against Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS at 101 from 198 (51%) against the TAB, and 102 from 198 (52%) against Sportsbet.