Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 16 : Overs/Unders

Only four of the eight markets are up at the bookmakers’ so far. Here’s how they compare to the MoS twins’ opinions.

There are some differences there, but in two of the three instances where the gap is sufficiently large to potentially warrant a wager, forecast rain has Investors passing on the opportunity for overs bets.

That leaves just a lone overs wager for now, where the estimated overlay is just under 9 points.

I’ll provide the final bookmaker totals, and update about any subsequent bets, in a separate blog as those missing markets become available.

Round 15 saw MoSHBODS and the TAB share Mean Absolute Error (MAE) honours, with MoSHBODS doing best on Home Team Scores and Game Totals, and the TAB doing best on Away Team Scores and Game Margins.

That left MoSSBODS with the season lead on Home Team Scores, MoSHBODS with the lead on Game Totals, the TAB with the lead on Game Margins, and Easybet with the lead on Away Team Scores.

MoSSBODS won its single unders wagers against the Easybet to leave it with a season-long 54% success rate against the them and a 67% success rate against the TAB in games on which it has wagered.

Across all games, MoSSBODS is now 69 from 127 (54%) against the TAB, and 70 from 127 (55%) against Easybet, while MoSHBODS is 73 from 127 (58%) against both.