2020 - Round 12 : It's 1am ... on a Thursday morning ... exactly whose idea was this?
/It’s far too late at night and early in the morning to be fully cogent, so let’s just get straight into the forecasts that we have, given that markets for some of the later games are not yet posted.
TIPS AND PREDICTIONS
Some far, it’s the Geelong v Port Adelaide game that providing the bulk of the contrarian tips, with 5 of the 8 currently declared Head-to-Head Tipsters siding with the underdog Cats, albeit very narrowly.
Amongst the Margin Predictors there are forecasts on either side of zero in three of the six games so far, and margin prediction ranges of less than two goals in four of them, the exceptions being a 22 point range in the Roos v Lions game, and a 14 point range in the Swans v Giants.
For the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, we find the largest range of probability estimates in the Swans v Giants game where it’s 18% points. Nowhere else does it exceed 7% points.
WAGERS
It’s a very subdued week of wagering, so far, though there are still head-to-head and line markets to go up in two games (and totals markets in three).
(Please click on the image below to access a larger version.)
By far the largest wager is that on the Hawks with 26.5 points start at $1.91 facing West Coast.
To finish, here are MoSS2020's and MoSH2020's opinions about likely team scoring.
Commentary about these forecasts will come in the week's Overs/Unders blog and MoSHPlay’s various forecasts will be posted after the relevant team line-ups are made public.
