2018 - Team Ratings After Round 27 (Week 4 of the Finals)

Like their respective supporters, West Coast rose and Collingwood fell at the end of the Grand Final on both Systems on Saturday, the Eagles finishing 3rd on both, and the Pies taking 4th on MoSSBODS and 5th on MoSHBODS.

That left the two Systems in complete agreement about the ranking of one half of the 18 teams, and differing by no more than a spot in their rankings of all the remaining teams except St Kilda, who MoSSBODS has 12th and MoSHBODS 14th.

Looking across the season, in terms of ranking positions, Melbourne, West Coast and Collingwood were the biggest improvers on both Systems, while Sydney, the Western Bulldogs, Adelaide and Port Adelaide suffered the largest declines on MoSSBODS, and Sydney, Adelaide and St Kilda suffered the largest declines on MoSHBODS.

The final component ratings reveal that:

  • MoSSBODS has a Top 3 on offence of Melbourne, Richmond, and then Adelaide, MoSHBODS of Melbourne, Richmond, and then Essendon.

  • MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS both have Top 3s on defence of Richmond, West Coast and then Collingwood, the latter pair swapping places after the Grand Final on both Systems.

Across all 18 teams, no team finished ranked more than two places differently on either offence or defence by the two Systems. 

The final version of the animated GIF of MoSSBODS ratings appears below.

MoSSBODS Ratings At End of Rounds 1 to 27 - Smooth.gif

The season finishes then with:

  • eight teams having a positive offensive and a positive defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

  • one team having a positive offensive and a negative defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

  • three having a negative offensive and a positive defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

  • six having a negative offensive and a negative defensive rating (unchanged from last week)

In total, nine teams finish with a positive offensive rating while 11 have a positive defensive rating, which seems fairly reasonable given the low-scoring nature of the 2018 season.

ChiPS re-ranked both of the Grand Finalists this week, leaving West Coast in 4th and Collingwood in 5th, and left all 16 other teams where they were pre-round. MARS re-ranked no-one.

That left ChiPS with a final Top 3 of Richmond, Melbourne and then Geelong, and MARS with a final Top 3 of Richmond, West Coast and then Melbourne.

Across the 18 teams, the two Systems ultimately agreed about the ranking of nine teams, and differ by more than two places only in their ranking of Adelaide (12th on ChiPS and 9th on MARS).

Looking across the team rankings of all four Systems we find the largest disparities for:

  • Sydney, ranked five places differently across the Rating Systems, from 8th to 13th

  • Geelong, ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems, from 3rd to 7th

  • Essendon, ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems, from 6th to 10th

  • Adelaide, ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems, from 8th to 12th

    No other team is ranked more than three places differently across the Rating Systems.