MatterOfStats 2023 : Team Dashboard for Round 9

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The latest Ranking on Dashboard metrics data appears below, and shows that the strongest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Percentage of Quarters Won (+0.96)

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.94)

  • Scoring Shots Conceded (+0.93)

  • Opponent Scoring: Points (+0.84)

  • Opponent Scoring: Goals (+0.71)

  • Own Scoring: Goals (+0.76)

  • Own Scoring per Game (+0.73)

  • Q2 Performances (+0.72)

  • Own Scoring: Points (+0.71)

The weakest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.1)

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.6)

Perhaps never has it been less true that “bad kicking is bad football”. Right now, it’s a lot about generating and preventing scoring shots.

Next, we have the full Team Dashboard below, which shows that:

  • Collingwood have scored over 15 points per game fewer than Melbourne and conceded only 4 points per game fewer.

  • Collingwood have doubled their opponents’ scores in Q4s, as have Melbourne in Q4s

  • West Coast have scored less than half what their opponents have scored in Q2s

  • Geelong have scored only 19% of their points in Q4s

  • Hawthorn have scored only 18% of their points in Q3s. Their percentage for that quarter is 37.

  • Collingwood have scored 32% of their points in Q4s

  • Sydney, in 14th, has kicked more goals than five of the teams above them on the ladder, including two in the Top 8.

  • The bottom five teams have, between them, won only four game in the last seven rounds

  • There are five teams with a winning streak of three games or longer, and they all sit in the Top 8.

  • There are five teams with a losing streak of three games or longer, and four of them occupy one of the Bottom 5 positions.