MatterOfStats 2023 : Team Dashboard for Round 6

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The latest Ranking on Dashboard metrics data appears below, and shows that the strongest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.89)

  • Percentage of Quarters Won (+0.88)

  • Q4 Performances (+0.81)

  • Scoring Shots Conceded (+0.8)

  • Opponent Scoring: Points (+0.74)

  • Own Scoring: Goals (+0.72)

  • Own Scoring: Points (+0.71)

The weakest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (-0.04)

  • Q1 Performances (+0.35)

Remarkably the ladder’s Top 8 teams includes the four worst teams on Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion.

Overall, the teams whose scoring statistics look least congruous with their ladder positions are Geelong, who the Win Production Function places 2nd, and who are in the Top 4 on a slew of other measures, and Richmond, who the Win Production Function places 11th.

Next, we have the full Team Dashboard below, which shows that:

  • Collingwood have doubled their opponents’ scores in Q4s, as have Essendon in Q3s, Melbourne in Q4s, and St Kilda in Q3s.

  • Geelong have scored only 17% of their points in Q4s

  • Brisbane Lions have scored only 19% of their points in Q4s

  • Hawthorn have scored only 16% of their points in Q3s. Their percentage for that quarter is 31.

  • Collingwood have scored 31% of their points in Q4s

  • Geelong have scored 33% of their points in Q3s

  • North Melbourne have scored 31% of their points in Q4s

  • Western Bulldogs have scored 31% of their points in Q2s

  • West Coast have scored 32% of their points in Q3s

  • Melbourne have scored 32% of their points in Q4s

  • Carlton have yet to lose a Q2, and Melbourne a Q4

  • Fremantle have yet to win a Q1

  • St Kilda, who sit 1st on the Ladder have won only 13 of 24 of their quarters, which is 4 fewer than Melbourne, and 2 fewer than Adelaide and Essendon.

  • Carlton has a percentage below 100 despite being 3-1-2, while Geelong has a percentage well above 100 despite being 3-0-3.

  • West Coast, in 17th, has kicked only 9 goals fewer than St Kilda, in 1st.

  • Carlton, in 8th, has kicked fewer goals than seven of the 10 teams below them on the ladder

  • St Kilda has conceded 20 goals fewer than any other team in the competition

  • Eight of the 18 clubs, which range from 2nd to 16th on the ladder, have conceded between 69 and 75 goals