MatterOfStats 2023 : Team Dashboard for Round 24

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The final Ranking on Dashboard metrics data appears below, and shows that the strongest rank correlations with final ladder positions are associated with:

  • Percentage of Quarters Won (+0.91)

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.85)

  • Opponent Scoring: Goals (+0.80)

  • Opponent Scoring: Points (+0.79)

  • Scoring Shots Conceded (+0.78)

  • Scoring Shots Generated (+0.73)

  • Own Scoring: Goals (+0.73)

  • Own Scoring: Points (+0.73)

It’s very much been a season where defences have, at the margin, prevailed.

The weakest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.21)

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.51)

Based on this data, Adelaide and Geelong were clearly unlucky to miss finals, and St Kilda and GWS to a lesser extent perhaps a little lucky to make finals.

The final full Extended Team Dashboard appears below, and shows that:

  • Carlton, Melbourne and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters taken separately.

  • Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters taken separately

  • St Kilda have registered substantially fewer scoring shots than their opponents and have registered only an 83 percentage in Q2s

  • Western Bulldogs have won as many quarters as have Collingwood this season

  • Melbourne have won four more quarters than any other team this season

  • Collingwood’s opponents have converted at only 41% in Q4s this season, GWS’ at only 43%, and St Kilda’s at only 44%

  • By way of contrast, Brisbane Lions’ opponents have coverted at 64% and Melbourne’s at 60% in Q3s. Port Adelaide’s opponents have also converted at 59% in Q1s and 60% in Q4s.

  • Conversely, Collingwood have converted at 61% in Q2s and Q4s, Fremantle at 61% in Q3’s, and St Kilda at 62% in Q1s.

  • Geelong scored 30% of their points in Q1s, and Brisbane Lions 30% in Q3s, whilst Fremantle scored only 20% of their points in Q1s. Also, Brisbane Lions and Carlton conceded only 19% of their points in Q2’s.