MatterOfStats 2023 : Team Dashboard for Round 21

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The latest Ranking on Dashboard metrics data appears below, and now shows that the strongest rank correlations with ladder positions are currently associated with:

  • Percentage of Quarters Won (+0.89)

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.88)

  • Opponent Scoring: Points (+0.87)

  • Opponent Scoring: Goals (+0.84)

  • Scoring Shots Conceded (+0.83)

  • Scoring Shots Recorded (+0.74)

  • Own Scoring: Points (+0.72)

  • Own Scoring: Goals (+0.72)

The weakest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.12)

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.45)

Own Scoring Shot Conversion and. to a lesser extent, Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion remain largely irrelevant to success in the competition, especially if you look only at the Top 8 teams on the ladder.

The full Extended Team Dashboard appears below, and shows that:

  • Carlton, Geelong, Melbourne, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters taken separately.

  • Sydney have outscored their opponents in Q1s , Q2s, and Q3s, but still lie 10th on the ladder.

  • Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters taken separately

  • Collingwood have registered only a 90 percentage in Q3s. They’ve also only converted at 49% in that quarter, but at 62% in Q2 and Q4.

  • St Kilda have registered substantially fewer scoring shots than their opponents and have registered only a 78 percentage in Q2s. Also, despite sitting 7th on the ladder, they’ve lost more quarters than they’ve won.

  • GWS have registered fewer scoring shots than their opponents in both Q1s and Q2s, and have percentages of just 88 and 84 in those two quarters

  • Collingwood’s opponents have converted at only 40% and GWS’ at 40% in Q4s this season

  • By way of contrast, Brisbane Lions’ opponents have coverted at 64% and Port Adelaide’s at 60% in Q3s

  • Geelong have scored 30% of their points in Q1s, and Fremantle only 19%. Brisbane Lions habe conceded only 19% of their points in Q2’s and Carlton just 20% in same quarter, whereas Collingwood have conceded 31% of their points in Q3s