MatterOfStats 2024 : Team Dashboard for Round 5

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The latest Rankings on Dashboard Metrics graphic appears below, and reveals that team rankings on the following metrics are most highly correlated with ladder position (noting that I order the ladder based on Competition Points per Game and then Percentage, which differs from what you’ll see on the AFL and other sites).

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.95)

  • Own Goals per Game (+0.90)

  • Own Points per Game (+0.90)

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game (+0.89)

  • Percent of Quarters Won (+0.89)

  • Q3 Performances (+0.73)

  • Opponent Scoring Shots per Game (+0.70)

Least highly correlated are:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.14)

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.32)

  • Q4 performances (+0.49)

Overall, the Brisbane Lions’ and possibly St Kilda’s rankings look least congruent with their ladder position.

And, here is the larger Team Dashboard, which reveals that:

  • GWS has lost only three quarters this season, and drawn one

  • Port Adelaide has lost only four quarters this season, and drawn one

  • North Melbourne has won only three quarters this season

  • West Coast has won only three quarters this season, and drawn one

  • Brisbane Lions has scored 59% of their points in 1st halfs and conceded 62% in 2nd halfs

  • Gold Coast has conceded 61% in 2nd halfs

  • St Kilda has scored 59% in 2nd halfs

  • Gold Coast’s opponents have converted at almost 75% in Q1s

  • North Melbourne has converted at almost 80% in Q1s