AFLW 2024 - Round 4 - Unders/Overs

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UPDATE 12:30PM SUNDAY

WoSHBODS after a 1 and 2 Saturday Totals performance is, again, ridiculously active in the Totals markets, and has:

  • Adelaide v Essendon: 5.6% of the Fund u83.5 @ $1.90

  • Collingwood v Western Bulldogs: 0.2% of the Fund u78.5 @ $1.85

  • Sydney v Greater Western Sydney: 1.4% of the Fund o78.5 @ $1.87

  • West Coast v Brisbane: 2.2% of the Fund u83.5 @ $1.87

UPDATE 11:50AM SATURDAY

It’s about 20 minutes to game time, and Sportsbet have no posted Totals market for the Suns v Cats game, so WoSHBODS has considered only the TAB’s offering and has responded with a small unders wager.

Sportsbet has, however, posted Totals markets for the two other games today, and WoSHBODS has also found value in those.

It has:

  • Gold Coast v Geelong: 1.1% of the Fund u79.5 @ $1.90

  • St Kilda v Hawthorn: 0.8% of the Fund o75.5 @ $1.85 (with rain forecast and the estimated overlay only 3.5 points, this bet should not have been placed. Then again, we’ve done so well with overs bets …)

  • Fremantle v Melbourne: 6.3% of the Fund u76.5 @ $1.87

UPDATE 9:45AM FRIDAY

If losing wasn’t enough to deter WoSHBODS, a small win last night was certainly not going to discourage it, and so we find ourselves with yet another wager on tonight’s game

  • 2.9% of the Fund o72.5 @ $1.85

And, yes, it’s another overs wager, the likely efficacy of which is reflected in the table at right, which shows the relative performance of the two forms of Totals wagering so far this season.

UPDATE 11:30AM THURSDAY

Completely ignoring its recent performance, WoSHBODS has waded into the Totals market for tonight’s game:

  • 1.3% of the Fund u74.5 @ $1.85

UPDATE 2:30PM WEDNESDAY

We have a wager on the traditional Wednesday 7:15pm game:

  • 7.1% of the Fund u83.5 @ $1.85

UPDATE 5:15PM TUESDAY (SiC)

We have a wager on tonight’s game:

  • 5.6% of the Fund o73.5 @ $1.90