Matter of Stats

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2021 - Round 21 Results - Finishing Well

It proved to be a difficult round in which to tip winners, but about equally as difficult for most of the Head-to-Head Tipsters, which left MoSSBODS_Marg atop the Leaderboard on 118 from 180 (66%), still two tips clear of MoSHBODS_Marg and three tips clear of MoSHPlay_Marg.

Amongst the Margin Predictors, honours went to ENS_Linear with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 31.5 points per game, which was enough to see it climb off the bottom of the Leaderboard.

Other moves saw the RSMP twins swap places, MoSHBODS_Marg climb into 5th and MoSSBODS_Marg into 6th, and saw MoSHPlay_Marg fall to 8th.

The all-Predictor MAE was just over 34 points per game, leaving the season-long all-Predictor average at just under 26.5 points per game.

Log probability scores were negative for all the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors this week, but least of all for MoSSBODS_Prob and MoSHBODS_Prob, the latter of which moved into 1st place on the Leaderboard ahead of MoSHPlay_Prob. MoSSBODS_Prob sits in 3rd.

WAGERS

It was another profitable week for Investors, although the gains all came on Friday and Saturday, and most of the losses on Sunday and Monday.

The overall round profit for the Combined Portfolio was 1.4c, which moved it to a season-long profit of 6.9c, that from a +6.4% ROT on a 1.08 turn.