2022 - Round 25 : Overs/Unders

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The MoS twins are both expecting lower scores in both games this week compared to the two bookmakers.

In terms of the likely highest- and lowest-scoring games and teams we have:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • All: Melbourne v Brisbane Lions

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • All: Collingwood v Fremantle

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Melbourne

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Fremantle

WAGERS

MoSSBODS has found value in one unders bet this week.

The estimated overlay in the game with the wager is just under 16 points..

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 24 was a good one for MoSSBODS who picked up honours for the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Home Team Scores and Game Totals. TAB did the same for Away Team Scores, and Sportsbet for Game Margins.

That left MoSSBODS still with the season-long best MAE for Game Margins but now also for Away Team Scores, MoSHBODS now with the season-long best MAE for only Game Totals, and the TAB still with the season-long best MAE for Away Team Scores.

The leads are as follows:

Game Margins: MoSSBODS 38 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Home Team Scores: MoSSBODS 5 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Away Team Scores: TAB 20 points ahead of Sportsbet (and 51 points ahead of MoSSBODS)

Game Totals: MoSHBODS 14 points ahead of MoSSBODS

MoSSBODS had two wagers last week, one unders with the TAB, and one unders with Sportsbet, both winners. That took its record with TAB to 29 and 17 and with Sportsbet to 10 and 5.

Across all games, MoSSBODS recorded a 3 from 4 result against the TAB, moving it to 117 from 201 (58%) for the season, and also a 3 from 4 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 114 from 201 (56%) for the season.

MoSHBODS recorded a 3 from 4 result against the TAB, moving it to 118 from 201 (58%) for the season against them, and also a 3 from 4 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 112 from 201 (55%) for the season against them.