MoSSBODS kept its Top 1 and 3 as the Dogs and the Lions, but switched the Hawks into 2nd from 4th and moved the Power from 2nd to 4th. In contrast, MoSHBODS kept its Top 4 unchanged as Dogs, Hawks, Power, and then Lions.

Altogether MoSSBODS reranked 13 teams but MoSHBODS only seven, with the multiple spot movers on both Systems being Collingwood (up 2 on MoSSBODS and up 4 on MoSHBODS), Carlton (down 3 on MoSSBODS and down 2 on MoSHBODS), and GWS (down 2 on MoSSBODS and down 4 on MoSHBODS).

On MoSHBODS, 11 of the 15 teams moved multiple spots, including Carlton up 5 into 6th, Melbourne up 4 into 11th, and Geelong, Fremantle, and Adelaide, down 3 into 8th, 10th, and 13th.

The eight finalists fill places 1, 2 ,3, 4, 5, 7, 9, and 11 on MoSSBODS, and 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, and 9 on MoSHBODS.

On MoSSBODS, 2nd and 11th are now separated by only 6 Scoring Shots (which is about 22 points), and on MoSHBODS 2nd and 10th are separated by only just over 23 points.

The correlation between MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS Combined Ratings stands at +0.9944 and, roughly speaking, each team’s Combined MoSHBODS Rating is about 3.75 times its Combined MoSSBODS Rating.

On the Component Ratings, on offence we find MoSSBODS now with a Top 3 of Dogs, Lions, and Hawks, and MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Dogs, Hawks, and Lions. On defence, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS still have Top 3s of Dogs, Power, and Hawks.

MoSSBODS now has nine teams rated as above average on offence while MoSHBODS now has 11. Also, MoSSBODS now has 13 teams rated as above average on defence, while MoSHBODS now has 10.

Offensive ratings on MoSSBODS currently span a range of 10.3 scoring shots (about 38 points) and defensive ratings a range of 10.7 scoring shots (about 39 points). Offensive ratings on MoSHBODS span a range of 34 points and defensive ratings a range of about 40 points.

We can also review the trajectory that each team has followed to arrive at its current MoSSBODS Rating.

On MoSSBODS, 8 teams are now rated positively on offence and defence (up 1), 4 are rated negatively on both (down 1), only 1 is rated positively on offence but negatively on defence (no change), and 5 are rated negatively on offence but positively on defence (no change).

The correlation between the teams’ MoSSBODS offensive and defensive Ratings now stands at +0.8, which is down a touch on last week.

To put the latest MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS Ratings in some historical context, here are the final average home and away season Ratings of all Finalists from 2000 to 2024.

In both cases we can see that the crop of 2024 Finalists is, on average, quite strong offensively, but weak defensively.

We can also see that Western Bulldogs’ MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS Ratings are quite impressive in the context of recent premiers’ Ratings at the end of their home and away seasons.

And, finally, to MARS, which re-ranked 12 teams this week, but left Sydney in 1st. Below them, Western Bulldogs moved into 2nd at the expense of Brisbane Lions, and Hawthorn, Port Adelaide, and Geelong moved up at the expense of GWS.

Between them, the eight teams playing Finals fill the Top 8 places.

Just on 28 Rating Points now separates 1st from 13th, which roughly equates to a score gap at a neutral venue of about 22 points.

By way of comparison, at the end of Round 24 last season, the gap between 1st and 13th was about 34 Rating Points, or roughly 27 points. Interestingly, Sydney’s, Western Bulldogs’ and Brisbane Lions’ Rating of around 1,027 to 1,029 is about the same as Melbourne’s, Brisbane Lions’ and Collingwwod’s Ratings at the same time last season.

There are now 13 teams rated better-than-average by MARS.

Looking across the rankings of all three Systems and comparing them with the teams’ competition ladder positions, we find relatively large differences between the teams’ ladder positions and their rating system ordering for:

HIGHER ON LADDER THAN ON RANKING SYSTEMS: Sydney (MARS aside) and Geelong

LOWER ON LADDER THAN ON RANKING SYSTEMS: Western Bulldogs

MARS this week provides the most outlying rankings at 9, ahead of MoSSBODS with 5, and MoSHBODS with just 4.

MARS is particularly different in terms of its ranking of Sydney.

MoSHBODS and MARS agree about the ranking of only 6 teams now, MoSSBODS and MARS about only 6 as well, and MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS about 10.

Looking finally at the range of rankings that the three Systems have attached to each team we find that Sydney has the widest range of rankings at six spots, and that there are three other teams whose rankings span more than two spots.

There are also now four teams that the Systems unanimously rank: Adelaide, North Melbourne, Richmond, and West Coast.