Matter of Stats

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2024 - Round 0 : Overs/Unders

In this week’s amuse-bouche round, MoSSBODS is forecasting, on average, slightly higher scores than the bookmakers, while MoSHBODS is forecasting slightly lower scores.

As highests and lowests, we have:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoS twins: Gold Coast v Richmond

  • Bookmakers: Brisbane Lions v Carlton

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • All: Sydney v Melbourne

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS and Bookmakers: Brisbane Lions

  • MoSHBODS: Gold Coast

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS and Bookmakers: Carlton

  • MoSHBODS: Collingwood

WAGERS

Investors have just a single wager this week - an under on the first game of the round. A large overs bet on the Gold Coast game has been declined because of the forecast “shower or two”.

The estimated overlay for the Sydney v Melbourne game is just under 6 points.

(Note that the wagering strategy of the Over/Under Fund has changed this season, as outline in this blog post.)