In a rare display of optimism, the MoS forecasters, overall, have higher average Total forecasts than the bookmakers’, as well as some quite different opinions about what individual teams will score to reach those Totals.

Looking at the highests and lowests, we have.

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

• All: Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide

LOWEST SCORING GAME

• MoS twins: St Kilda v Collingwood

• Bookmakers: GWS v Sydney

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

• All: Brisbane Lions

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

• MoS twins: Gold Coast

• Bookmakers: North Melbourne (as well as Essendon and GWS for the TAB)

WAGERS

Investors have two overs wagers this week (with a third declined based on the forecast). Across the entire 2021 season, MoSSBODS made only four overs wagers, so we’re already seeing a potentially different calibration from the model this season.

The estimated overlays across the nine games range from about 2 to 15 points, and are around 7 and 8 points in the two games where there are wagers.