Matter of Stats

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2021 - Round 7 Results - Much As We Expected

We surmised that head-to-head tipping was going to be more difficult this week and, indeed, it was, with the Head-to-Head Tipster average coming in at just 4.4 from 9 this week, down by almost two full tips. Five Tipsters managed 5 from 9, including MoSHPlay_Marg, which took it into joint leadership with MoSSBODS_Marg on 42 from 63 (67%).

Mean absolute error (MAE) values for the round were much higher this week, with the lowest of 35.8 points per game registered by Bookie_9, and the highest of 40.1 points per game registered by MoSHPlay_Marg.

Despite that result, MoSHPlay_Marg remains 3rd on the Leaderboard, behind MoSHBODS_Marg and MoSSBODS_Marg.

The Head-to-Head Probability Predictors all recorded positive log probability scores again this week, though only barely so and within a narrow range. As a result, the ordering is unchanged at the top of the Leaderboard, with MoSHPlay_Prob ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob and then MoSSBODS_Prob.

WAGERS

Round 7 was another profitable one for Investors as both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds saw black ink.

The overall profit for the Combined Portfolio was just under 2c leaving it now up by 11.9c on the season, that from a +33% ROT on an 0.36 turn.