Matter of Stats

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2021 - Round 6 Results - A Far, Far Better Thing

The Head-to-Head Tipsters averaged 6.2 from 9 correct tips this week, up fractionally on last week’s average of 6.1 correct tips. MoSSBODS_Marg and MoSHPlay_Marg fared best, bagging 7 from 9, with all other Tipsters bagging 6 from 9. MoSSBODS_Marg now stands alone atop the Leaderboard on 38 from 54 (70%).

Mean absolute error (MAE) values for the round fell sharply into two camps - those for the MoS trio in the 27 to 28 points per game range, and those for the rest of the field roughly in the 31 to 33 points per game range.

MoSHBODS_Marg registered the round’s lowest MAE and remains marginally ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg, while MoSHPlay_Marg did enough to grab third place, and now enjoys a comfortable 30ish point gap over Bookie_3 in fourth.

The Head-to-Head Probability Predictors all recorded positive log probability scores again this week, with the three best scores recorded by the MoS trio and MoSHPlay_Prob best of all. It now lies in first place, ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob and MoSSBODS_Prob.

WAGERS

Round 6 was an excellent one for Investors, with the profit for the round of just over 5% the highest of any this season. Both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds recorded perfect three from three results, leaving only the Overs/Unders Fund’s two from four result preventing the proverbial clean sweep.

The Combined Portfolio is now up by 10c on the season, that from a +32% ROT on an 0.31 turn.