Matter of Stats

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2021 - Round 16 : Overs/Unders

We’re still waiting for confirmed venues in two games, but here’s what we have so far.

WAGERS

Investors already have three unders wagers this week, as shown below.

The estimated overlays for the three wagers range from about 9 to 18 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 15 saw MoSSBODS record the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Margins, Home Team Scores, and Away Team Scores, and the TAB do the same for Game Totals.

That left MoSSBODS with the best season-long performance on Home Team and on Away Team Scores, MoSHBODS with the best season-long performance on Game Margins, and Sportsbet with the best season-long performance on Game Totals.

MoSSBODS won one of its two unders wagers with the TAB last week, leaving it with a 22 and 23 record with them. It also won its lone unders wager with Sportsbet, taking it to a 5 and 5 record with them.

Overall, both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS went 4 from 9 against both the TAB and Sportsbet, leaving MoSSBODS at 69 from 126 (55%) against the TAB, MoSHBODS at 66 from 126 (52%) against the TAB, and both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS also at 66 from 126 (52%) against Sportsbet.