Matter of Stats

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2021 - Round 12 Results - Never Much Liked the Bye Rounds

Quite variable results for the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week, with Home Sweet Home bagging just two from six, and the RSMP twins and Consult The Ladder bagging five from six. The three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard, however, with MoSSBODS_Marg still in 1st and now on 76 from 105 (72%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg on 75 (71%), and MoSHPlay_Marg, now joined by RSMP_Weighted on 74 (70.5%).

The MoS trio also still hold the top three places amongst the Margin Predictors, although the week’s best mean absolute error (MAE) value of 16.8 points per game belonged to RSMP_Simple, which saw it climb two places into 5th.

The all-Predictor MAE was 18.5 points per game.

For the eighth successive week, the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors all recorded positive log probability scores, best amongst them Bookie_OE and Bookie_RE. The MoS twins still did well enough, however, to retain the top three spots, with MoSHPlay_Prob still in 1st, ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob and then MoSSBODS_Prob.

WAGERS

Round 12 was a losing one for Investors, as all three Funds made losses, albeit only a small one for the most-heavily weighted, Line Fund.

The overall loss for the Combined Portfolio for the round was 1.6c, the third-worst of the season, which moved it to a season-long profit of 10.8c, that from a +19% ROT on an 0.57 turn.