Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 7 Results - MoSHPlay Rebounds Harder

Home Sweet Home, fresh off its first 9 from 9 in who-knows-how-long, recorded just 1 from 9 this week, plummeting it from 1st to 2nd-last on the all-Tipster ladder. Best were the 7 from 9’s of the MoS trio who, as a result, moved themselves into the top 3 spots on the Leaderboard, a couple of tips clear of their nearest rivals.

The all-Tipster average for the round was 5.2 from 9, dragged down most notably by Home Sweet Home.

The best mean absolute error (MAE) for the round belonged, again, to MoSHPlay_Marg, ahead of Bookie_3, Bookie_Hcap, ENS_Linear and Bookie_LPSO. MoSHPlay_Marg’s result was good enough to see it climb back into 3rd position after having been last only two rounds ago.

The round’s worst MAE belonged to Bookie_9, though RSMP_Simple’s wasn’t much better, so much so that it now finds itself in a very uncustomary last place.

All of the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors returned positive log probability scores again this week, though narrowly best was MoSHPlay_Prob, ahead of the three Bookie-based Predictors.

MoSSBODS_Prob retains 1st place ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob, with MoSHPlay_Prob now slipping into 3rd place.

WAGERS

This week sees the first loss for Investors this season, as the Head-to-Head and Line Funds show atypical losses while the Overs/Unders Fund shows an atypical and all-too-small profit.

Overall, the decrease in the Combined Portfolio was 3.8c, leaving it with a price of $1.119, this result coming now from a 26.2% ROT on a 0.46 turn of the Portfolio Funds.