Matter of Stats

View Original

2020 - Round 19 Results - Sub 5 MAE

Tipping winners proved hard this week for the Head-to-Head Tipsters, with only Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder doing better than chance. MoSHPlay_Marg managed just 1 from 4, which saw its lead over MoSHBODS_Marg pared to two.

The all-Tipster average for the week came in at 1.4 from 4.

Meantime, amongst the Margin Predictors, MoSSBODS_Marg recorded an amazing 3.7 points per game mean absolute error (MAE), which was enough to propel it to within 3 points of the leader, Bookie_9, who turned in a MAE of 11.9 points per game.

Altogether, only two Margin Predictors stayed with the same ranking.

MoSSBODS_Prob was the only Head-to-Head Probability Predictors to return a positive log probability score this week, which was enough to move it into top spot on the Leaderboard. MoSHPlay_Prob recorded only a mildly negative score for the round and moved into 2nd, nudging Bookie_LPSO into 3rd.

WAGERS

It was another good round for Investors - the third best for the season - after both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds made profits.

Overall, the Combined Portfolio increased in value by 4.1c, its fifth successive increase. It now has a price of $1.177, this result coming from a 17.7% ROT on a 0.999 turn of the Portfolio Funds.