Matter of Stats

View Original

2020 - Round 17 : Two To Go

There are nine games in the upcoming round, but only five for which markets are currently available - the first four games, which will be our focus in this blog, and the Hawks v Dogs game on Sunday.

Let’s see what the MoS models make of the first four.

TIPS AND PREDICTIONS

Just a smattering of contrarian tips, with one each from Consult The Ladder, Home Sweet Home, and MoSHBODS_Marg.

Amongst the Margin Predictors, the main thing that stands out is the MoSHBODS_Marg forecast of the Tigers beating the Cats by 5 points.

MoSHBODS_Marg also stands out amongst the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors for the same game.

WAGERS

Investors have no bets in the first four games of the round, as shown below.

(Please click on the image below to access a larger version.)

Note that not shown here is a 0.9% Head-to-Head bet on Hawthorn at $3.30.

To finish, here are MoSS2020's and MoSH2020's opinions about likely team scoring.

Commentary about these forecasts will come in the week's Overs/Unders blog and MoSHPlay’s various forecasts will be posted after the relevant team line-ups are made public.