Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 16 Results - Another Standstill

MoSHPlay_Marg tipped the winner in 6 of the 8 contests this week, which was an equal-best top score and enough to see its lead on the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard extended to two tips over Bookie Knows Best and RSMP_Simple.

The all-Tipster average came in at 5.4 from 8 as all Tipsters recorded a score of 5 or 6.

The round’s best Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of just 17.5 points per game belonged to MoSHPlay_Marg, but the overall results were such that no-one moved on the Leaderboard.

All of the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors returned positive log probability scores this week, by far best amongst them MoSHPlay_Prob, who now sits 3rd on the Leaderboard behind MoSSBODS_Prob and Bookie_LPSO.

WAGERS

It was an undeniably good round for Investors, who saw their best profit since Round 6, and their 4th-best return of the season, thanks to black ink from all three Funds.

In the end, nine of the 12 bets were collects, and the Combined Portfolio increased in price by 2.3c. It now has a price of $1.096, this result coming from an 11.3% ROT on a 0.857 turn of the Portfolio Funds.