Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 15 : Overs/Unders

Only two of the six markets are up at the bookmakers’, so there’s again at this point of the week not a lot of comparing to do other than to say that so far the MoS twins are roughly in agreement with the bookmakers.

As a result, as you can see, Investors currently have no overs/unders wagers.

I’ll provide the final bookmaker totals, and update about any subsequent bets, in a separate blog as those missing markets become available.

Round 14 was a good one for Easybet, who recorded the best Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Margins, Away Team Scores, and Game Totals, leaving MoSSBODS to record best MAE for Home Team Scores.

That saw Easybet grab the season-long lead on Away Team Scores from MoSSBODS, and grab the season-long lead on Game Totals from MoSHBODS, The TAB still leads on Game Margins, and MoSSBODS on Home Team Scores.

MoSSBODS lost both of its unders wagers against the Easybet to leave it with a season-long 52% success rate against the them and a 67% success rate against the TAB in games on which it has wagered.

Across all games, MoSSBODS is now 65 from 121 (54%) against both the TAB and Easybet, while MoSHBODS is 67 from 121 (55%) against both.