Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 14 Results - Mostly Marking Time

MoSHPlay_Marg managed just 6 from 8 correct tips this week, but still has a three tip lead on the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard.

The all-Tipster average came in at just under 6 from 8, dragged down by the other MoS Tipsters, and by Home Sweet Home.

The round’s best Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of just 18.4 points per game belonged to Bookie_Hcap, but Bookie_9’s 20.2 ppg was enough to see it retain 1st place on the Leaderboard.

Lamentably, the MoS trio now hold the bottom three spots after each recording MAEs over 22 ppg.

For the sixth round in succession, all of the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors returned positive log probability scores, best with all three of the bookie-based Predictors doing slightly better than the MoS trio. Regardless, MoSSBODS_Prob still sits in 1st, ahead of MoSHPlay_Prob.

WAGERS

Round 14 was not a kind one for Investors, with the Hawks’ capitulation being particularly galling, and contributing to losses by both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds.

Their losses, coupled with an 0 from 2 Overs/Unders Fund performance, saw the Combined Portfolio drop by almost 3c.

The Combined Portfolio’s now has a price of $1.07, this result coming from a 9.5% ROT on a 0.738 turn of the Portfolio Funds.