Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 10 Results - Let's Call It a Draw

MoSHPlay_Marg bagged 6 from 9 this week, which was enough to see it remain atop the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard by two tips, now ahead of Bookie Knows Best, MoSSBODS_Marg, and RSMP_Simple (who tipped the card).

The all-Tipster average for the round was 5.8 from 7, dragged down yet again by Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder.

Margin Predictor mean absolute errors (MAEs) were well down for the round, with Bookie_9 recording the round low of about 16.1 points per game, which was enough to very narrowly see it take top spot on the Leaderboard, just 0.4 points ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg.

Less than 3 goals currently separates 1st from 6th.

All of the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors returned exceedingly positive log probability scores this week, but the best score belonged to MoSHPlay_Prob. Regardless, MoSSBODS_Prob still heads the Leaderboard, though now with MoSHPlay_Prob not far behind in 2nd.

WAGERS

Round 10 saw Investors roughly break even, after a mixed bag of near wins and near losses on wagering.

Overall, the Combined Portfolio essentially went nowhere, leaving it with a price of $1.088, this result coming now from a 14.3% ROT on a 0.62 turn of the Portfolio Funds.