There are three games this week where MoSHPlay’s forecast margins differs from MoSH2020’s by more than a goal:

• Richmond v Carlton: MoSHPlay Tigers by 10; MoSH2020 Tigers by 17

• Essendon v Fremantle: MoSHPlay Dons by 12; MoSH2020 Dons by 5

• Gold Coast v Port Adelaide: MoSHPlay Power by 30; MoSH2020 Power by 15

MoSHPlay is also tipping two different winners in Collingwood (over the Western Bulldogs), and Geelong (over GWS) but each by only 1 point.

(Note that there are still squads of 26 named for the last three games of the round. The MoSHPlay estimates here use the four highest-rated players amongst those names on the Interchange.)

UPDATE FRIDAY 8PM

With the final 22s for the last three games of the round announced, MoSHPlay has made some subtle (some might say, inconsequential) adjustments.

They appear below.

UPDATE SUNDAY 12:30PM

With Murphy in for Daw there’s an update to the MoSHPlay forecast for the Roos v Saints game, but it’s made a little larger by the discovery of a slight error in the MoSHPlay spreadsheet (which also affects the forecasts for the other two games today).

We now have Roos by a whisker, Hawks by a goal, and Eagles by three goals.

UPDATE SUNDAY 2:30PM

Robertson for Birchall at the Lions moves MoSHPlay to Hawks by 9