Matter of Stats

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2018 - Round 10 Results - Encouraging

ENS_Linear snagged another seven this week, matching Bookie Knows Best and retaining its one tip lead on the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard. It's now on 63.5 from 89 (71%).

All of the Head-to-Head Tipsters except Home Sweet Home snagged six or seven each, which left the round average at 6.2 from 8.

ENS_Linear also produced the round's best mean absolute error (MAE), its 27.1 points per game narrowly better than MoSSBODS_Marg's 27.3 points per game. MoSHBODS_Marg finished third, and even C_Marg returned a very respectable 29.0 points per game.

MoSHBODS_Marg moved past MoSSBODS_Marg this week into 8th and reduced the gap to the outright leader to under three figures.

That outright leader continues to be Bookie_Hcap who now leads Bookie_LPSO by just over 8 points. It remains very congested at the top of the Leaderboard, with just over 4 goals separating 1st from 7th.

For the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors it was yet another weekend of positive probability scoring - the second best of the season for many of them. Best of all was Bookie_RE, but its performance wasn't good enough to dislodge Bookie_LPSO from top spot.

WAGERS

A five from six performance from the Overs/Unders Fund, and a three from four from the Line Fund comfortably offset the small loss recorded by the Head-to-Head Fund, and saw the Combined Portfolio rise by over 3c this weekend.

That was enough to push the Combined Portfolio back into profit for the season. It's now up by 1c on the season, the result of a +0.9% ROI on about a 0.84 turn.