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2017 - Round 3 Results - It Depends On What You Look At

It's almost always a tough round for the rational Head-to-Head Tipsters when Home Sweet Home (HSH) records the best performance of all of them. Only MoSSBODS_Marg managed to do almost as well as HSH's 6 from 9, it's 5 from 9 moving it to 16 from 27 (59%) for the season and dragging it into a five-way tie for second behind ENS_Linear's 17 from 27 (63%).

With all the other Tipsters scoring 4, the all-Tipster average was 4.3 from 9.

Amongst the Margin Predictors it was the MoSS brothers that finished 1st and 2nd this weekend, theirs the only mean absolute errors (MAEs) to come in under 26 points per game. That performance has lifted them into 1st and 2nd on the Leaderboard, MoSHBODS_Marg nudging Bookie_Hcap into 3rd by just 0.4 points.

C_Marg continued its poor start to the season with a 36.3 MAE, leaving it now over 30 goals off the lead.

The all-Predictor average MAE for the round came in at 29.2 points per game - a very respectable result given the number of upsets in the round.

MoSSBODS_Prob recorded comfortably the round's best probability score, so much so that it was catapulted into the top spot on the Leaderboard, ahead of the three bookie-based Head-to-Head Probability Predictors. MoSHBODS_Prob recorded only the fifth-best probability score for the round, though it was again positive, and much better than C_Prob's large, negative score.

I'm beginning to think a steward's enquiry into the off-season recalibration of ChiPS is in order ...

WAGERS

Simply put, it was an extraordinary weekend's wagering, the Head-to-Head Fund landing five from six bets to grow by 26c, the Line Fund also landing five from six to grow by 9c, and the Over/Under Fund landing three from four to grow by 3c.

In total, that added almost 10c to the value of the Overall Portfolio, which now stands up by 8% on the season.

There'll not be many more rounds like that one this year, I'd wager.