Matter of Stats

View Original

MatterOfStats 2024 : Team Dashboard for Round 23

Tony Corke

The latest Rankings on Dashboard Metrics graphic appears below, and reveals that team rankings on the following metrics are most highly correlated with ladder position:

  • Percent of Quarters Won (+0.95)

  • Q3 Performances (+0.92)

  • Own Points per Game (+0.89)

  • MoS Win Production Function Expected Wins (+0.87)

  • Own Goals per Game (+0.85)

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game (+0.85)

Least highly correlated are:

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.11)

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.4)

A review of this table and the detailed Team Dashboard below reveals:

  • All eight of the Top 8 teams on the MoS Win Production Function still sit in the Top 8 spots on the competition ladder. The same is true of the Top 8 teams on Quarters Won and on Own Points Scored.

  • Four teams outside the Top 8 have percentages above 100, including Adelaide in 15th. St Kilda, in 13th, in on 99.3.

The larger Team Dashboard also reveals that:

  • Only two teams have a winning streak extending beyond two games: Port Adelaide and GWS.

  • Only three teams have a losing streak extending beyond two games: Fremantle and Richmond.

  • North Melbourne have converted at 61% across all four quarters

  • Richmond have converted at only 46% across all four quarters

  • GWS’s opponents have converted at only 48% across all four quarters, Essendon’s at 57%.

  • Richmond, North Melbourne, and West Coast have been outscored by their opponents in every quarter

  • The only teams to have outscored their opponents in every quarter are Brisbane Lions, Fremantle, GWS, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs.

  • Brisbane Lions, Port Adelaide, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have registered more scoring shots than their opponents in all four quarters. North Melbourne, Richmond, and West Coast are the only teams to have registered fewer scoring shots than their opponents in all four quarters.

  • Port Adelaide have converted at only 43% in Q4s and Richmond at 35% (and 45% in Q2s). Brisbane Lions have converted at only 44% in Q3s and Sydney in Q1s.

  • Carlton have converted at 61% in Q4s, and North Melbourne at 61% in Q1s and 63% in Q2s. Gold Coast have converted at 61% in Q3s.

  • Sydney’s opponents have converted at only 36% in Q2s whilst they themselves have converted at 61%.

  • West Coast’s and Carlton’s opponents have converted at 62% and 63% in Q2s, respectively.