Matter of Stats

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MatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 22

The latest Team Dashboard appears below. We'll look this week once again at the MoS Win Production Function and the difference between teams' actual win percentages and the percentages their scoring statistics suggest might be expected.

We find that:

  • Fremantle have won 3.1 games more than might be expected
  • Hawthorn  and Western Bulldogs have won 1.2 games more than might be expected
  • GWS have won 1.1 games more than might be expected
  • Geelong and St Kilda have won 0.9 games more than might be expected
     
  • Kangaroos have won 2.0 games fewer than might be expected
  • Port Adelaide have won 1.7 games fewer than might be expected
  • Sydney and Collingwood have won 1.5 games fewer than might be expected
  • Adelaide have won 1.3 games fewer than might be expected
  • Essendon have won 0.8 games fewer than might be expected

Based on those expectations, the teams ranked most differently on the competition ladder relative to what their scoring statistics imply are:

  • Fremantle: 3 places higher than would be expected
  • Geelong and GWS: 2 places higher than would be expected
     
  • Port Adelaide, Sydney and the Kangaroos: 3 places lower than would be expected
  • Collingwood: 2 places lower than would be expected